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Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE)

POSITIVE
EnergyOil & Gas IntegratedCanada

Price

$28.27

Market Cap

$52.72B

Fundamental

75

Technical

75

Composite

75

AI Analysis

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Overview

Cenovus Energy Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, refines, transports, and markets crude oil, natural gas, and refined petroleum products in Canada, the United States, and China. It operates through Upstream and Downstream segments. The company is involved in the development and production of bitumen and heavy oil; owns and operates pipeline gathering systems and terminals; operation of assets rich in NGLs and natural gas in Alberta and British Columbia; and offshore operations, exploration, and development activities in the East Coast of Canada and the Asia Pacific region. It also engages in refining, such as owned and operated Lloydminster upgrading and asphalt refining complex; owns and operates the Bruderheim crude-by-rail terminal and two ethanol plants; fuels business; and refining of crude oil to produce gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, asphalt, and other products. Cenovus Energy Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$49.70B

Net Income

$3.93B

Free Cash Flow

$3.67B

Total Equity

$23.15B

Total Liabilities

$13.75B

Current Ratio

1.57

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

1.29

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Fair Value Estimation

Fairly Valued

Fair Value

$36.25

Current Price

$28.27

Margin of Safety

+22.0%

Fair Value Range

$24.44 - $48.07

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$34.41
DCF:$50.37
PE-based:$16.10
Graham Growth:$29.30
EPV:$30.26
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (17B / 2H / 1S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+13.24%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

15.71

ROE

14.8%

P/B Ratio

2.28

P/FCF

14.37

Gross Margin

24.9%

ROIC

19.3%

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

19.3%

WACC

6.8%

ROIC − WACC

+12.6 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (14)

  • Price CAGR 6.45%
  • ROIC 19.3%
  • P/FCF 14.37
  • P/B Ratio 2.28
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 15.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 30.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 85% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 64.8%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.31
  • Net Margin Trend 7.9% vs 5.8%

Failed (4)

  • Gross Margin 24.9%
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Unavailable (9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Price Chart

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)

47.55

SMA 50

$28.13

SMA 200

$21.26

MACD

-0.20

Volatility

2.3%

Momentum (12m)

96.0%

RSI 47.5, SMA trend bullish, momentum 96.0%.

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

2.31

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Jonathan M. McKenzie CAPresident, CEO & Non-Independent Director57
Mr. Kam S. Sandhar CAExecutive VP & CFO-
Mr. P. Andrew DahlinExecutive VP & COO-
Mr. Jeffery G. Lawson LLBExecutive VP of Corporate Development & Chief Sustainability Officer56
Mr. John F. SoiniExecutive Vice-President of Upstream – Thermal & Atlantic Offshore-
Ms. Susan M. AndersonSenior Vice-President of Legal, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary-
Mr. Geoffrey T. MurrayExecutive Vice-President of Commercial-
Logan PopkoSenior Vice-President of Corporate & Operations Services,-
Mr. Eric ZimpferHead of Downstream-
Ms. Candace NewmanSenior Vice-President of Corporate Services-

Audit Risk

2

Board Risk

8

Compensation Risk

1

Shareholder Rights Risk

1

Latest News

Recent headlines for CVE, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/6/2026NEUTRAL
    Cenovus Energy Q1 2026 Earnings Call: Complete Transcript

    Cenovus Energy Inc. has released the complete transcript for its Q1 2026 Earnings Call. While the transcript provides detailed insights into the company's performance, strategic initiatives, and outlook for the upcoming quarters, it does not contain specific forward-looking financial figures or immediate performance indicators that would suggest a distinct positive or negative market reaction. Investors should review the transcript for a comprehensive understanding of the company's operational status and future plans.

  • 5/6/2026NEGATIVE
    Canada’s Carbon Tax Hinders Pipeline Plans, Cenovus CEO Says

    Cenovus Energy CEO Alex Pourbaix stated that Alberta's proposed west coast oil pipeline project is being hindered by Canada's current climate policies. He emphasized the need for a policy shift towards promoting oil production from new projects to facilitate such infrastructure development. This suggests that stringent climate regulations are creating significant headwinds for major energy projects, potentially impacting future production and revenue for companies like Cenovus. Investors should monitor policy changes and their direct effect on project approvals and operational expansion.

via Markets Gazette

Disclaimer

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